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Semiparametric Inference of the Complier Average Causal Effect with Nonignorable Missing Outcomes

机译:用于算子的半参数推断的编译器平均因果效应   不可忽视的缺失结果

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摘要

Noncompliance and missing data often occur in randomized trials, whichcomplicate the inference of causal effects. When both noncompliance and missingdata are present, previous papers proposed moment and maximum likelihoodestimators for binary and normally distributed continuous outcomes under thelatent ignorable missing data mechanism. However, the latent ignorable missingdata mechanism may be violated in practice, because the missing data mechanismmay depend directly on the missing outcome itself. Under noncompliance and anoutcome-dependent nonignorable missing data mechanism, previous studies showedthe identifiability of complier average causal effect for discrete outcomes. Inthis paper, we study the semiparametric identifiability and estimation ofcomplier average causal effect in randomized clinical trials with bothall-or-none noncompliance and the outcome-dependent nonignorable missingcontinuous outcomes, and propose a two-step maximum likelihood estimator inorder to eliminate the infinite dimensional nuisance parameter. Our method doesnot need to specify a parametric form for the missing data mechanism. We alsoevaluate the finite sample property of our method via extensive simulationstudies and sensitivity analysis, with an application to a double-blindedpsychiatric clinical trial.
机译:在随机试验中经常出现不合规和遗漏数据的情况,这使得因果效应的推断变得复杂。当不合规和缺失数据同时存在时,先前的论文提出了在潜在可忽略缺失数据机制下针对二进制和正态分布连续结果的矩和最大似然估计。但是,在实践中可能会违反潜在的可忽略的缺失数据机制,因为缺失数据机制可能直接取决于缺失结果本身。在不依从和依赖结果的不可忽视的缺失数据机制下,先前的研究表明,对于离散结果,符合者的平均因果效应是可识别的。在本文中,我们研究了全参数或全数值不依从和依赖结果的不可忽略缺失连续性结果的随机临床试验中半参数可识别性和估计致病因平均效果的方法,并提出了两步最大似然估计器以消除无限维扰动参数。我们的方法不需要为丢失的数据机制指定参数形式。我们还通过广泛的模拟研究和敏感性分析来评估我们方法的有限样品性质,并将其应用于双盲精神病学临床试验。

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